March 15, 2025

Fostering Innovation, Entrepreneurship and Leadership in Silicon Valley and Throughout the World

Many people have asked about my latest venture, Silicon Valley Forum. In explaining why I decided to launch a nonprofit organization, let me start my reply by providing some background information. During my time residing in Seattle, Wash., I served as a volunteer with various professional organizations that provided me with the opportunity to connect with others who shared a mutual interest in international business. With the tech sector having a prominent presence in the Pacific Northwest's economy, many of my volunteer activities focused on learning from people leading some of the world's most innovative companies.

Immediately after relocating to the San Francisco Bay Area in 2020, I started exploring local organizations where I could find a level of engagement similar to what I experienced in Seattle. The Silicon Valley Forum (SVF), a nonprofit organization whose mission is to connect people and organizations from around the world to the knowledge and networks of Silicon Valley, was among the organizations with a mission that aligned with my professional and personal interests.

In 2021, I learned about an event the SVF was organizing in Sunnyvale, Calif., which featured startup founders visiting from Austria. (I published a post about this event on this Forum.) This was a type of program that I had supported during my time in Seattle and was excited by the prospect of engaging with the nonprofit organization in my new home in northern California. My excitement, however, was tempered when I read a LinkedIn post noting SVF was ceasing operations. This came as a surprise since the organization had a history going back to 1992 and produced hundreds of events.

Silicon Valley Forum's Storied History


The Articles of Incorporation of The Center for Software Development were filed with the Office of the California Secretary of State on June 9, 1992 (File No. 1822829). Over the course of several years, the organization went through a merger and two name changes. As SVForum, the organization filed an Amended and Restated Articles of Incorporation in 2012 listing the following purposes:
  1. Engage the technology community by providing education and access to resources, creating connections and community, and facilitating the exchange of unbiased knowledge, insights, and best practices;
  2. Conduct educational seminars and programs on subjects of interest to the technology community;
  3. Undertake the creation, implementation, operation and maintenance of such other activities, programs, and facilities which are reasonably anticipated to assist in, or otherwise promote the development of the technology community; and
  4. Do any acts which are necessary, proper, useful, incidental, or advantageous to the foregoing process.

After another renaming to Silicon Valley Forum in 2015, a Nonprofit Certificate of Dissolution was filed in 2020, effectively ending the organization's 28 years of operations.

The "New" Silicon Valley Forum


Still searching for an nonprofit organization in the Bay Area to engage with, I regularly thought about the aforementioned purposes of the now dissolved Silicon Valley Forum. Perhaps there was an opportunity to launch my own organization with a unique identity but building on the foundation of the previous organization. After performing some research with the Office of the California Secretary of State, I could not find evidence that "Silicon Valley Forum" was a name for an active corporation. I also inquired with the County Clerk-Recorder of each of the nine counties within the Bay Area as to "SVF" or "SVForum" being registered as a fictious business names (also known as doing business as). No results were found.

On March 15, 2024, I filed the Articles of Incorporation of Silicon Valley Forum, a Nonprofit Public Benefit Corporation, with the Office of the California Secretary of State (File No. 6145131). The incorporation document list the same four purposes outlined in the previous organization's 2012 filing. A Fictitious Business Name Statement was filed with the County Clerk-Recorder of Santa Clara County registering "SVF" and "SVForum" as fictitious business names. I also filed an Application for Employer Identification Number with the Internal Revenue Service, which issued an EIN (36-510146) that is unique from the previous organization, as well as the required form to be recognized as a 501(c)(3) nonprofit organization, which was approved on May 31, 2024.

With Patricia Berdejo serving as Chief Executive Officer and myself as Board Chair, the mission of the "new" Silicon Valley Forum is to foster innovation, entrepreneurship and leadership in Silicon Valley and throughout the world. Through events, programs, and conferences, the relaunched Silicon Valley Forum functions as a center of knowledge and connections, covering everything from the latest tech trends to the startup and investment ecosystem. Building on 32 years of history, our organization is focused on educating, training, inspiring, and connecting technologists, entrepreneurs, corporates, and investors through high-impact events, programs and conferences.

We launched our website at SiliconValley.Forum (with much appreciation to Bloqs for donating their web hosting and development services). We also regularly post valuable and relevant information about the global tech sector on our LinkedIn page.

Our programs include the Silicon Valley Forum Fireside Chat series, Silicon Valley Forum Diplomat Series, and Silicon Valley Forum Executive Speaker Series. These events are held in-person and online. Our organization is also supporting environmental stewardship events as a way of giving back to our community.

We are planning to hold workshops focused on presenting best practices to startup founders on how to build a strong foundation to maximize success and minimize risk. Lessons will include delivering solid pitches to prospective investors, implementing effective sales and marketing strategies, and leadership development. These events will take place not only in the Silicon Valley, but in locations throughout the United States including Seattle, Denver, Washington, DC, St. Louis, Orlando, Miami, and New York City. Silicon Valley Forum's programs will also be held in countries outside the United States.

We will hold our "State of the Global Tech Sector Luncheon" in the Bay Area in December 2025, which will provide attendees the opportunity to hear from industry leaders who will share their insights about which trends will impact the global tech sector in 2026 and beyond. The intention is to hold this event on an annual basis.

I am proud that the "new" Silicon Valley Forum will leverage the history of the previous organization with a renewed mission. To produce our programs, as a nonprofit organization, we will require support from the public (and we thank you for your support).

You are invited to visit our website, follow us on LinkedIn, and engage with us on how you can support our mission of fostering innovation, entrepreneurship and leadership in Silicon Valley and throughout the world. We look forward to hearing from you.

Aaron Rose is a board member, corporate advisor, and co-founder of great companies. He also serves as the editor of GT Perspectives, an online forum focused on turning perspective into opportunity.

February 28, 2025

The Business Case for Why and How Mobile Phones Can – and Should – Move Towards Circularity

A report published by GSMA focuses on how "to develop a compelling business case for why and how mobile phones can – and should – move towards circularity." The report explores the following research questions:
  1. Current status: How linear or circular are mobile phones, and how have relevant trends evolved over the past few years? What are the most common business models for phones used by mobile operators?
  2. Adapting to emerging trends: How are consumer preferences and regulations accelerating the transition towards circularity? How are manufacturers, operators and other stakeholders responding?
  3. Scaling circular business models: Which circular business models are most promising for mobile operators, and how can they be scaled up? What are the roles of operators, manufacturers, refurbishers and other stakeholders in overcoming barriers?

Below are the report's key findings:
  • Consumer trends, regulatory requirements and growing impacts of e-waste are converging to challenge the traditional linear business model of the mobile phone industry.
  • Rapid technological developments and growing demand for mobile connectivity contribute to significant environmental and social impacts from the production, use and disposal of mobile phones.
  • Circularity is a critical lever in reducing the environmental impacts of mobile phones since most of them come from materials sourcing and manufacturing.
  • Consumer and regulatory trends are driving the shift toward a more circular economy, albeit with significant variation between countries and regions.
  • Circular business models – such as repair services, refurbished devices and trade-ins – offer a range of commercial benefits for the industry, including cost savings, new revenue opportunities, greater customer loyalty, improved brand reputation and supply chain resilience.
  • Circularity also yields significant environmental and social benefits for companies and customers, including achieving climate targets, reducing e-waste, promoting digital inclusion and supporting local economies.
  • Many mobile operators are already developing circular business models, but face barriers in scaling up.
  • Collaboration is crucial to accelerate the transition to a circular economy for mobile phones.
  • Ultimately, circular business models need to be financially sustainable, advance environmental goals and meet customer needs. 

Regarding the need for greater circularity, the report lists three ways circularity of mobile phones can be increased:
  1. Reducing the environmental impacts of manufacturing by using circular resources, such as recycled and recyclable materials and renewable energy.
  2. Increasing the potential and actual lifespan of phones by repairing and refurbishing existing phones, designing phones to be more durable and repairable, and providing adequate software and security support to match the potential physical lifespan of devices.
  3. Ensuring no device ends up as waste by recovering and recycling phones that have reached their actual end-of-life.
I concur with the report's assertion that "Although mobile phones contain many valuable minerals that can be recycled and reused, many phones ultimately end up in landfills or incinerated.  

Aaron Rose is a board member, corporate advisor, and co-founder of great companies. He also serves as the editor of GT Perspectives, an online forum focused on turning perspective into opportunity.

February 22, 2025

Report Delves Into the Transformative Power of Digital Innovation and Its Role in Driving Economic Prosperity

GSMA Intelligence published an insightful report that delves into the transformative power of digital innovation and its role in driving economic prosperity. Titled Economic growth and the digital transformation of enterprises, the report notes that "Industries worldwide are undergoing a profound digital transformation, reshaping the way businesses operate and interact. Connectivity, which is expected to account for 21% of enterprise digital transformation spending from 2024 to 2030, has become a critical enabler of this transformation. Businesses that can embrace advanced technologies that leverage connectivity, such as AI, IoT, robotics, AR/VR, big data analytics and cloud computing, can enhance operational efficiency, improve customer experiences and unlock new revenue streams."

Regarding how digitalization of enterprises is accelerating, the report says "This trend has been further accelerated by global challenges, such as the Covid-19 pandemic, climate change, economic uncertainty and geopolitical tensions. These challenges have all underscored the critical importance of digital infrastructure in ensuring business resilience and continuity."

The report's key findings are listed below:
  • 5G solutions are amplifying digital transformation, but enterprise adoption is still limited. Initial 5G adoption has unlocked new use cases and accelerated digitalization for early adopters across industries. But the reach of enterprise adoption of 5G remains limited. For example, according to GSMA Intelligence’s Digital Transformation Survey 2024, only 2% of surveyed enterprises had deployed 4G/5G private networks.
  • Digital transformation's economic impacts are not yet fully understood, but this report bridges the gap. While the economic impacts of mobile connectivity are well documented, the broader effects of digital transformation across sectors remain less understood. This report seeks to bridge this gap by offering empirical evidence on how the latest wave of digital technologies drives economic growth.
  • Mobile technologies and digital transformation will boost global value added by nearly $11 trillion in 2030. The continued integration of digital technologies in enterprises will increase mobile’s contribution to global GDP from 5.8% in 2024, equivalent to $6.5 trillion, to 8.4% by 2030, equivalent to almost $11 trillion.
  • Four sectors (manufacturing, financial services, automotive and aviation) will account for 34% of this impact. By 2030, advanced connectivity could enable manufacturers to achieve over $400 billion in annual cost savings, while the automotive sector could save nearly $45 billion in quality-related costs. Airports stand to reduce nearly $10 billion in flight-delay costs, and financial institutions could see a revenue uplift of over $140 billion through enhanced process automation.
  • Realizing 5G's transformative potential requires collective stakeholder action. 5G could unleash the full potential of digital transformation, driving significant economic impact and commercial value. But the benefits cannot be realized without action from all stakeholders. Policymakers, operators and the broader ecosystem must collaborate to overcome barriers to enterprise adoption, including high implementation costs, device compatibility issues and often a lack of internal technical expertise within enterprises.

In writing the report's Foreword, Richard Cockle, Head of GSMA Foundry and Connected Industries at GSMA, explains that "The digital transformation journey is not merely about adopting new technologies; it is about reimagining business models, enhancing customer experiences and fostering a culture of continuous innovation. Enterprises that embrace this transformation, working in partnership with mobile operators, are better positioned to navigate the complexities of the modern economy, unlock new opportunities and achieve sustainable growth."

I agree with Mr. Cockle's concluding paragraph that "Together, let us embrace the opportunities that digital transformation presents and work towards a future where economic growth and technological innovation go hand in hand."

How is your business embracing the transformative power of digital innovation?

Aaron Rose is a board member, corporate advisor, and co-founder of great companies. He also serves as the editor of GT Perspectives, an online forum focused on turning perspective into opportunity.

December 31, 2024

Geopolitical Shocks and Climate Change Will Remain Biggest Risks in 2025, Says EIU Report

"Hopes that the world will one day return to normal have been continually dashed since the covid-19 pandemic, and 2025 will be no different," the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) says in its Industry outlook 2025 report that explores the challenges, opportunities and trends to watch in the following six industries: energy, financial services, consumer goods and retailing, technology, automotive, and healthcare. The report further says: "Although working and travel patterns are normalizing, the economic and political outlook remains uncertain. EIU forecasts that real GDP will grow by a subdued 2.6% in 2025, similar to 2024 but slower than the average for the ten years before the pandemic." What is more, "The US economy will slow as labor markets tighten, but China's will accelerate slightly, amid stimulus and reviving trade. Those of the EU and Japan will also tick up, but only smaller developing markets such as India will deliver significant growth."

Geopolitical tensions and trade barriers will force more shifts in supply chains, amid subdued business growth. The EIU also presents the following predictions for 2025:
  • Inflation is expected to ease, allowing for further monetary easing.
  • Prices for agricultural and energy commodities will fall, but those for industrial raw materials will rise.
  • Geopolitical risks will persist amid wars in Ukraine and the Middle East, while rising trade barriers between the EU, the US and China will reshape supply chains.
  • Climate change will increase geopolitical tensions. National climate pledges will be updated at COP30 in November 2025, but much will depend on US leadership.
  • Investment in technology, especially artificial intelligence (AI), will remain strong, but tech companies will face regulatory pressures, investor impatience and scrutiny over energy usage.

According to the EIU, "Falling inflation will allow monetary easing to continue. We expect the Federal Reserve (Fed, the US central bank) to cut interest rates by a further 50 basis points during 2025. We also expect prices for agricultural commodities and industrial raw materials to move in different directions in 2025- 26. Although agricultural prices will continue to trend downwards, prices for industrial raw materials will rise again, particularly for base metals that benefit from the green transition. As for energy commodities, prices will fall on average, but remain at risk from political shocks."

The UK-based company provides the following key global forecasts for each sector covered by its report:
  • Energy: Fossil-fuel markets will continue to face geopolitical risks amid conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine, but investment into renewables will remain strong, particularly in China.
  • Financial services: Falling interest rates will weigh on bank profit margins, leading to lower dividend payouts, but the Basel III endgame will be eased or delayed further.
  • Consumer goods and retailing: Global retail volumes will expand by 2.2%, helped by disinflation, but regulations around online retailing will tighten further, particularly for high-volume low-price Asian retailers such as Shein and Temu.
  • Technology: More countries will start using satellite internet, but use cases will be limited to enterprise clients—military and maritime. Amazon's Kuiper will disrupt the market duopoly of Starlink and EutelSat OneWeb.
  • Automotive: After a difficult few years, annual new-vehicle sales will reach a record 97.2m units in 2025. We forecast that sales of new cars will rise by 2%, commercial vehicles by 4% and electric vehicles by 16%.
  • Healthcare: Global healthcare spending will outpace inflation, growing by 1.9% in real terms. The World Health Organization will make climate change the focus of its 14th four-year general program, which starts in 2025.
Companies and investors alike should take note that geopolitical shocks and climate change will remain the biggest risks in 2025. The EIU's "baseline forecast assumes that another large-scale war will not break out in Asia or the Middle East. However, the continued threat of geopolitical conflict, in addition to the continuing war in Ukraine, will lead to economic reconfiguration and policy divergence." Moreover, "The EU and the US are already raising barriers against Chinese exports in areas from  automotive and technology to healthcare. Chinese retaliation is likely to intensify in 2025 as rival blocs emerge across the world. These trends," according to the report's authors, "will reshape supply chains over 2025, and could upend our forecast of falling commodity prices and inflation."

Regarding climate change and how efforts to mitigate it will play in these political rifts, the report notes that "At COP30 in November 2025 governments are due to update their national climate pledges (NDCs), but much will depend on US leadership. The debate over environmental, social and governance (ESG) reporting will intensify as regulations enforcing disclosure come into effect in the EU and elsewhere." In addition, "EU climate regulations, due to come into force from 2026, will also have an international impact on trade by forcing multinational companies to monitor their supply chains."

While investment in technology, particularly AI, will be strong as projects gather pace, "technology companies will face pressure from several directions as regulations tighten (particularly in Europe), investors become more impatient for profits and their energy usage comes under more scrutiny." I agree with the EIU that "Companies will need to navigate these new requirements, while also trying to reconfigure their supply chains and seek out areas of growth."

What challenges, opportunities and trends are you watching as we celebrate the beginning of 2025?

Aaron Rose is a board member, corporate advisor, and co-founder of great companies. He also serves as the editor of GT Perspectives, an online forum focused on turning perspective into opportunity.

December 20, 2024

Deliver on the Promise of AI, Unlock the Value of Data, and Eight Additional Opportunities for Tech Companies in 2025

In its "Top 10 Opportunities for Technology Companies in 2025," EY, a consultancy, explains that its report published in December 2023 "highlighted the need for tech businesses to reshape, reposition and innovate for success in a world led by generative artificial intelligence (GenAI). Throughout 2024, AI use-cases and copilot deployments surged across industries; however, many reached a plateau – often because companies were not fully prepared for the cost and organization-wide transformation to enable success."

The report adds that "To get ahead, tech companies – and their customers – need to move away from viewing AI as a capability applied to traditional business processes and instead fundamentally rethink and reinvent their business to operate in an AI-first era. Tech companies themselves can lead here by demonstrating their own internal transformation journey using their own products ('tech on tech')."

I agree with the assertion: "As 2025 unfolds, the acceleration of AI adoption will continue, but it will be against a backdrop of increasing capital needs, heightened global regulatory oversight and shifting economic landscapes."

The report's authors explain that "In compiling our annual Top 10 Opportunities for Technology Companies in 2025, we've attempted to provide a balanced, future-oriented view of the potential actions for tech companies across various growth and operational levers to drive value creation in 2025." Below are EY's Top 10 Opportunities for Technology Companies in 2025:
  1. Deliver on the promise of AI: Transform potential into performance
  2. Drive growth and optimize customer experience through an agentic AI future: Harness next-generation, semi-autonomous AI "agents" to create new customer offerings.
  3. Adopt outcome-based pricing models to supplement subscription and consumption offerings: Get ahead of customer expectations with pricing that corresponds to customer value realization.
  4. Demonstrate the power of an AI-first operating model: Rethink business models and processes to boost operational agility driven from AI.
  5. Unlock the value of data: Assess opportunities to modernize and consolidate legacy systems to better harness the power of enterprise data.
  6. Empower your workforce of the future with innovative training: Boost productivity and evolve skill sets for the era of AI.
  7. Embed tax and legal functions at the outset of AI transformations: Improve strategic decision making by addressing rapid changes in tax, trade and compliance requirements by addressing them up front – not as an afterthought – to optimize business models and supply chains.
  8. Inject AI into cyber defenses: Tech companies that embed AI-driven security solutions will not only protect their assets but also position themselves in the market as leaders in trusted innovation.
  9. Move beyond contingency funds to free up capital to invest in emerging technologies: Free up resources by divesting non-core businesses/products to invest in high growth opportunities and drive sustainable growth.
  10. Shape the agenda for incoming regulators: Actively engage with regulatory bodies to structure future frameworks and drive more consistency in regulatory outcomes.

The report concludes by explaining: "In 2025, tech companies have the opportunity to translate the excitement and expectations around AI into tangible business benefits for themselves and their customers. Seizing these 10 opportunities highlighted can help accelerate this goal, and in the process, shape tech companies AI-enabled business of the future."

How is your business utilizing AI to achieve tangible benefits for your team and your customers?

Aaron Rose is a board member, corporate advisor, and co-founder of great companies. He also serves as the editor of GT Perspectives, an online forum focused on turning perspective into opportunity.

November 30, 2024

5G Expected to Contribute $10 Billion to Africa's Economy by 2030

"Mobile connectivity is a key driver of digital transformation and socioeconomic growth in Sub-Saharan Africa," according to GSMA's annual report on the state of the Sub-Saharan Africa's mobile economy. The report points out that "Governments and businesses are increasingly using 4G and 5G networks alongside technologies such as AI and IoT to enhance productivity and service delivery. Despite growing demand for mobile, a significant usage gap persists. This underscores the need for efforts by operators to address the barriers to mobile internet adoption, such as device affordability, online safety and digital skills."

The report's key findings include:
  • Persistent Usage Gap: Mobile internet penetration in Sub-Saharan Africa reached 27 percent by the end of 2023, yet a substantial usage gap of 60 percent remains. This gap represents millions who live within network coverage but face barriers such as device affordability, digital skills deficits, and concerns around online security. Globally, 3.1 billion people – 39 percent of the global population – are impacted by the usage gap. Sub-Saharan Africa is the least connected region, with the largest usage gap worldwide.
  • Expanding 4G Coverage and Early 5G Growth: The region's 4G adoption is forecast to reach 50 percent by 2030, overtaking 3G as the primary technology. Although 5G adoption remains in its early stages, it is projected to reach 17 percent of total connections by 2030, primarily in South Africa, Nigeria, and Kenya.
  • Economic Impact and Infrastructure Needs for 5G: By 2030, 5G alone is expected to contribute $10 billion to the region's economy, accounting for 6 percent of the mobile sector's total economic impact. GSMA's report emphasizes the need for progressive spectrum policies, particularly the release of mid-band spectrum, to support long-term growth and equitable digital access. Additionally, 5G Fixed Wireless Access (FWA) is gaining traction as a primary broadband solution in countries such as Angola, South Africa, Nigeria, Kenya, Zambia, and Zimbabwe, addressing demand for high-speed connectivity in underserved areas.
  • Strengthening Digital Security: South Africa became the first country in Sub-Saharan Africa to implement GSMA Open Gateway APIs, focusing on fraud prevention and security with Number Verification and SIM Swap APIs. This initiative is part of broader efforts across the region to improve digital security, particularly within digital banking​.
  • Generative AI Potential: Generative AI is expected to contribute up to $1.5 trillion to Africa's economy by 2030, with mobile operators increasingly using AI for customer engagement and network optimization. MTN and Vodacom, for instance, are deploying AI-powered initiatives to enhance operational efficiency, although the region faces a shortage of skilled AI professionals.

Through this report, the GSMA, a UK-based organization that aims to unify the mobile ecosystem to discover, develop and deliver innovation foundational to positive business environments and societal change, advocates for a series of critical actions to ensure sustainable growth and digital inclusion:
  1. Affordability Reforms: High costs remain a barrier to mobile access, with the report calling for reduced taxes on the sector, such as lowering import duties on handsets and cutting activation fees, to make services affordable and accessible for all.
  2. Revitalized Universal Service Funds (USFs): Many USFs in Sub-Saharan Africa are underperforming, often hindered by inefficiencies. The report calls for reforms to improve transparency, streamline disbursements, and direct funds toward impactful initiatives, such as digital literacy programs in underserved areas.
  3. Progressive Spectrum Policy: With increasing data demands, the report urges governments to release additional spectrum, particularly in the 6 GHz band, and to adopt policies that ensure efficient, affordable, and environmentally sustainable mobile network expansion.

Infographic: GSMA Intelligence

With respect the mobile technology's contributions to the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), the report says the industry "contributes to SDG 4, which seeks to ensure inclusive and equitable quality education, and promote lifelong learning opportunities for all. Digital transformation is making learning resources more accessible, enhancing educational outcomes and supporting continuous learning. By bridging gaps in education access and improving the quality of education, mobile technology is fostering a more inclusive society."

What investment or commercial opportunities are you seeing in Sub-Sahara's mobile technology industry? What are your recommendations for closing the digital divide?

Aaron Rose is a board member, corporate advisor, and co-founder of great companies. He also serves as the editor of GT Perspectives, an online forum focused on turning perspective into opportunity.

November 5, 2024

The Role of Mobile Technology in Driving Digital Transformation of Ethiopia's Economy

"Digitalization of the economy is a key driver of economic growth and government revenue" in Ethiopia, according to a report published by GSMA, a UK-based organization that aims to unify the mobile ecosystem to discover, develop and deliver innovation foundational to positive business environments and societal change. The report adds that digitalization "also supports socio-economic development and offers a path towards shared prosperity. By leveraging digitalization opportunities, the Government of Ethiopia can achieve sustainable economic growth and structural changes."

The report's additional key messages include:
  • "Adoption of digital technologies across both public and private sectors can impact on economic growth. It can increase agricultural productivity, improve access to global value chains (GVCs) and increase efficiency of government and public services. Access to emerging technologies such as artificial intelligence (AI) and cloud computing are desirable as drivers of digital and financial inclusion which in turn supports human development."
  • "Digitalization, including the telecommunications sector reform program and the introduction of mobile money, is a key part of the Ethiopian government's Homegrown Economic Reform Agenda (HGER) since 2019 and implemented under the 2021-2030 Development Plan, the Digital Ethiopia 2025 strategy, the Communications Service Proclamation No. 1148/2019 and the National Bank of Ethiopia's (NBE) strategic plans.

As explained by the report's authors, "In the five years since the launch of Digital Ethiopia 2025 and the start of the telecommunications reforms, the number of people covered by 3G networks has increased by 50%, while coverage of 4G networks has increased by 8 times. This study identifies further opportunities and quantifies the economic value of adopting digital technologies across Ethiopia's economy. It determines how these opportunities can be unlocked through policy reforms, particularly focusing on the key role that the mobile telecommunications sector and mobile money services plays in supporting the process of digitalization."

Regarding policy recommendations, I concur that "Policy reforms must balance short-term objectives with long-term investment and development to realize the full potential of digital transformation in Ethiopia. Reaping the wide-ranging benefits of digitalization will require bold actions to support demand, reduce the cost of supply and promote a policy environment that supports investment."

What is more, "The economic and social value of digital and emerging technologies relies on mobile networks as the backbone of digitalization of the economy and the mobile sector is best positioned to partner with the government to develop a mission-oriented public policy that can catalyze innovation across multiple sectors in the economy."

The report concludes with the identification of  five areas of policy recommendations that the government, the Ethiopian Communications Authority, NBE, and other relevant authorities could undertake to support the development of the mobile telecommunications sector, mobile money services, and the wider process of digital transformation in Ethiopia:
  1. Telecommunications reform implementation: Fair and timely implementation of the telecom reforms agenda to enable Digital Ethiopia transformation and inclusion objectives.
  2. Industry sustainability and investment: Support industry sustainability and development through investment and tax incentives, including reduce or remove customs duty and other costs on mobile devices to improve affordability and reduce the usage gap.
  3. Licensing, spectrum, and regulatory fees: Ensure affordable and predictable licensing, spectrum, and regulatory fees to encourage investment and densification of existing networks, rollout of new generation networks and improve affordability of services.
  4. Mobile money and payments: Discourage distortive taxation on emerging mobile money services, and continue implementing regulatory reforms to enable digital financial strategy and inclusion objectives.
  5. Demand-side policies: Support demand by continuing implementing digital government and digital ID programs, and incentivizing adoption of digital technologies by consumers and firms.

What are your recommendations for how mobile technology can drive the digital transformation of Ethiopia's economy?

Aaron Rose is a board member, corporate advisor, and co-founder of great companies. He also serves as the editor of GT Perspectives, an online forum focused on turning perspective into opportunity.

October 24, 2024

Driving Kenya's Economic Growth Through Digitalization

In a press release announcing the publication of a report focusing on the drivers behind the digital transformation of Kenya's economy, the GSMA, a UK-based organization that aims to unify the mobile ecosystem to discover, develop and deliver innovation foundational to positive business environments and societal change, said: "Kenya's digital economy will contribute KSH 662 billion to GDP by 2028. This growth, driven by strategic policy reforms, will accelerate digitalization in critical sectors such as agriculture, manufacturing, transport, and trade. In addition to these advancements, the report forecasts the creation of 300,000 new jobs and an increase in tax revenues by KSH 150 billion."

What is more, "To sustain its economic momentum, diversify the economy, boost productivity, and create high-quality jobs – particularly for young and rural populations – Kenya is focusing on digitalization as a key driver of economic growth, government revenue, and socio-economic development."

Below are the report's key messages:
  • "The digitalization of the economy is a key driver of economic growth and government revenue, as well as supporting socio-economic development and offering a path towards shared prosperity. By leveraging digitalization opportunities, the Government of Kenya can achieve sustainable economic growth and structural change."
  • "Adoption of digital technologies across both public and private sectors has been observed to positively impact economic growth. It increases productivity in agriculture, improves access to global value chains (GVCs) and improves the efficiency and transparency of government and public services. Moreover, access to emerging technologies such as mobile money, Artificial Intelligence (AI) and cloud computing are desirable as drivers of digital and financial inclusion which in turn supports human development."
  • "This study identifies opportunities and quantifies the economic value of adopting digital technologies across selected sectors of Kenya's economy. It identifies how these opportunities can be unlocked through policy reforms, particularly focusing on the key role that the mobile telecoms sector plays in supporting the process of digitalization."
  • "Kenya is a regional leader in mobile connectivity and Mobile Financial Services (MFS). It pioneered the use of mobile money, making huge strides in financial inclusion of the unbanked, and has retained its position as a global leader in this area. Further extending its reach as the enabler of electronic payments across the digital economy, as well as traditional sectors, can propel digitalization and growth for many more Kenyans and achieve increased resilience and revenue for the Government."

The report also "identifies a series of policy recommendations that, if implemented, will close the internet usage gap from the current level of over 64% of the population to 51% in 2028. This would result in 49% of the population of Kenya being connected to the Internet, equivalent to over 10 million additional people." The four priority policy reforms are:

1. Tax restructuring in the telecommunication industry to purposefully drive usage.
2. Implementing policies and programs to improve device affordability.
3. Ensuring a sustainable and predictable investment environment. This includes:
  • Supporting financial sustainability through tax deductions against spectrum payments,
  • Reducing the cost of energy to power infrastructure,
  • Adopting a favorable spectrum pricing model, and
  • Accelerating the license renewal process.
4. Supporting productive use of digital technologies by businesses across economic sectors, with targeted policies to improve digital skills and human capital, support MSMEs and start-ups and prioritize context-appropriate technologies and local needs.

The report's authors importantly point out that "These policy reforms have the potential to make a significant contribution to Kenya's economic objectives, including economic transformation across important sectors such as agriculture and manufacturing." The potential macroeconomic impacts are summarized in the image below:


Kenya has firmly positioned itself as a leader in mobile financial services and digital innovation. Following the development of information and communications technology sector in Sub-Saharan Africa for over 30 years, I appreciate how GSMA's study outlines the economic benefits of expanding digital adoption and provides a roadmap for maximizing these gains through targeted policy actions.

What are your recommendations for how Kenya can drive economic growth through digitalization?

Aaron Rose is a board member, corporate advisor, and co-founder of great companies. He also serves as the editor of GT Perspectives, an online forum focused on turning perspective into opportunity.

October 15, 2024

With the Rise of genAI in North America, GSMA Says 'Ethical Concerns Around AI Also Need to Be Addressed'

The US and Canada continue to be among the global frontrunners in 5G adoption, a testament to the significant investments by operators and the strong demand from customers for enhanced connectivity," says the GSMA in its annual report on the state of North America's mobile economy. (North America in this report as the US, Canada and the Caribbean.) The UK-based organization adds that "The rollout of 5G across North America is occurring alongside a wave of mobile network innovations and technological advancements, including the rise of generative AI (genAI), the expansion of satellite capabilities and increased network API exposure. Operators and the wider mobile ecosystem see these trends as critical to unlocking innovation and generating new revenue opportunities.

The report's key findings include:
  • 5G enters its next phase: "North America continues to be a global leader in 5G. By the middle of 2024, 5G accounted for over 55% of connections in the region. 5G fixed wireless access (FWA) services have also gained significant traction, with the US reaching nearly 10 million FWA subscribers at the end of Q2 2024."
  • A new chapter begins for private wireless networks: "Private wireless networks have existed for some time, but adoption had been relatively low. Thanks to evolving 4G and 5G networks, however, mobile technologies and networks can now more tightly link with enterprise needs. An improved ability to customize networks for specific enterprise use cases, facilitate greater security and enable connected machines and processes are among the many operational benefits conferred by private wireless networks. These opportunities are being explored in a range of enterprise sectors."
  • Momentum builds behind aerial connectivity: "Telecoms networks remain the primary form of connectivity, supported by the wide area coverage of wireless networks and the mass production and adoption of mobile devices. In recent years, however, technological advances in various satellite and other non-terrestrial networks (NTNs) have helped to overcome several limitations associated with aerial connectivity. This has resulted in significant performance improvements, lower deployment costs and more commercially viable business models for satellite and NTN-based connectivity solutions."
  • Operators take steps to fulfil generative AI's potential: "Operators in North America are adopting genAI across various domains, supporting both internal transformation and new business opportunities. Much of the focus is on deploying genAI in customer service departments to enhance employee productivity and deliver more personalized customer offers. GenAI is also being used in network management, aligning with operators' focus on improving user experience and network security. Many strategic collaborations are underway to help operators maximize the value of this new technology. However, challenges such as data privacy concerns and the shortage of skilled AI professionals remain key barriers to AI adoption."
  • GSMA Open Gateway gains traction: "By June 2024, 53 operator groups had signed up to the GSMA Open Gateway, representing 240 mobile networks and accounting for 67% of mobile connections globally. Between the participating operators, all regions are covered; AT&T, Dish, Rogers, T-Mobile US and Verizon are among the operators in North America that have signed up to the initiative. Many of the early API launches around the world have focused on fraud prevention and security, using SIM Swap and Number Verification. These represent easy wins, given the ever-present risks from fraudsters and breaches for operators and their customers. Other parts of the API library are also being deployed, as evidenced by the work done by US operators and drone manufacturers to test the Device Status API."
  • Policies for success: "Continued mobile evolution depends on the expansion of operators' mobile spectrum holdings across low, mid- and high bands to deliver speed, capacity and geographical coverage. Additional spectrum can boost the provision of cost-efficient investment and enhance network quality in North America, which can support mobile to grow its role in regional economic development strategies."

Infographic: GSMA Intelligence

The report importantly points out that "Ethical concerns around AI also need to be addressed." The GSMA asserts that "The mobile industry is committed to the ethical use of AI in its operations and customer interactions to protect customers and employees, remove any entrenched inequality and ensure that AI operates reliably and fairly for all stakeholders." Moreover, "The GSMA's AI Ethics Playbook serves as a practical tool to help organizations consider how to ethically design, develop and deploy AI systems. Increased collaboration between policymakers can also help private sector organizations establish appropriate AI guidelines. To support this outcome, the EU AI Office and the US AI Safety Institute recently announced they will work together on tools to evaluate AI models."

As for the mobile industry's impact on the UN Sustainable Development Goals, the report says its "most recent analysis shows that the mobile industry continues to achieve its highest impact on SDG 9: Industry, Innovation and Infrastructure, driven by the increased reach of mobile networks and growing take-up of mobile internet services." What is more, "Progress has also been made in reducing disparities in mobile internet adoption between different user segments, supporting the industry's contribution to SDG 5: Gender Equality and SDG 10: Reduced Inequalities."

What do you think of the report's findings? What are your recommendations for how to ethically design, develop and deploy AI systems?

Aaron Rose is a board member, corporate advisor, and co-founder of great companies. He also serves as the editor of GT Perspectives, an online forum focused on turning perspective into opportunity.

October 9, 2024

Toolkit Designed to Help Deliver Digital Skills Training for Impact in Sierra Leone

In my experience working in emerging and developing countries, many people mistakenly assume that if an individual is connected to the mobile internet, then they are able to utilize various life-enhancing applications. However, there is a stark difference between having access to the applications and the knowledge to make full use of these digital tools.

According to a report published by GSMA, "Mobile networks are the primary – and often only – channel for people to connect to the internet, especially in low-and-middle income countries (LMICs)." What is more, "Despite the rapid growth in mobile internet adoption in recent years, there remains a significant usage gap in LMICs: 48% of the population across LMICs still do not use the mobile internet. Of this group, 42% live within the footprint of a mobile broadband network but are not using the internet – this is known as the 'usage gap.' In Sierra Leone, the usage gap is significantly higher at 77%. Among people in this group, a lack of digital skills is one of the most significant barriers preventing them from adopting the mobile internet."

To address the digital skills barrier, the UK-based organization, which aims to unify the mobile ecosystem to discover, develop and deliver innovation foundational to positive business environments and societal change, says it "developed the Mobile Internet Skills Training Toolkit (MISTT), a free-to-use set of resources covering the fundamentals of the mobile internet, popular apps and use cases." The report also points out that "In order to gather evidence on the efficacy of the MISTT and identify potential areas for further improvements, the GSMA evaluated a digital skills training campaign conducted by Orange Sierra Leone, using MISTT. Specifically, the evaluation aimed to understand how effectively the MISTT delivers improved digital skills, what the socioeconomic impact is on trainees, and what improvements are needed to better reach the underserved."

Below are the report's key findings:
  • "MISTT improved digital skills for the majority of trainees interviewed in Sierra Leone, by reducing the functional barriers to mobile internet use, boosting learners' self-confidence and sense of independence and increasing the frequency of internet use by the trainees."
  • "There are indications that MISTT has had a positive socio-economic impact in Sierra Leone. This was visible in two main ways: enhancing trainees' potential to conduct business online has improved their prospects and income; and trainees have acquired greater knowledge and education across diverse topics."
  • "The impact of MISTT training on business was most observable for women, as they experienced the greatest changes to their digital skills confidence levels, as well as day-to-day life benefits, including being able to do business online while at home. Women were also more likely to enjoy the spill-over effects of the training, as their spouses passed on what they had learned."
  • "Incentives are a critical part of digital skills training – both for potential customers and trainers. The effectiveness of digital skills training can be greatly enhanced by providing appropriate incentives to potential trainees and their trainers. For trainers, this might involve providing financial incentives for the delivery of training that drives digital inclusion. For customers, this involves emphasizing how the mobile internet can be valuable to their lives and making them aware of any incentives, such as free mobile data and lunch, that are available to reward participation at in-person training events."
  • "Face-to-face training provides numerous advantages for the underserved. Face-to-face or in-person training allows a more tailored learning experience with opportunities for practical application by learners. For example, in-person training enabled trainers to spend time answering trainees' questions and providing tailored support on some of the challenges that they encounter. This is most important for learners with lower literacy and education levels, as well as those in rural areas. However, while effective, in-person training may be more costly for implementers and more difficult to scale."
  • "Digital skills training needs to consider the specific barriers that underserved users face. Issues, such as lower levels of education and a lack of basic digital skills and confidence, can impact on people's ability to access and participate in training activities. The evaluation also highlights the importance of adopting a gender lens to the delivery and expansion of digital skills training to ensure it is reaching women. There is a need to consider who might be excluded or disadvantaged from the proposed delivery approach, as well as ensuring the location, timing and content of the training, for instance, will meet their needs."
  • "To enhance the scalability and viability of MISTT digital skills training, implementers can explore other approaches to delivering digital skills beyond in-person channels to understand their effectiveness. Remote channels, for example videos, voice messaging and radio broadcasts, may provide an effective way for delivering digital skills training and/or improving training awareness in a cost-effective manner. Both in-person and remote channels have relative advantages and disadvantages. While in-person channels may be more effective at reaching certain population segments, remote channels provide unique benefits to implementers as they are easier to scale and can be iterated or updated more easily than face-to-face channels. Depending on the training objectives, both digital and in-person channels can be used simultaneously to complement the other."
  • "Combining digital skills training with other events or product pitches can extend the reach of digital skills training for the underserved and offer benefits to implementers. Delivering digital skills training alongside other activities, such as entertainment events or with the sale of a product or service, can encourage wider participation by reaching people who may be reluctant to attend a formal training event, for example, or linking it to something that is seen as relevant to them. Nonetheless, it's important to bear in mind the needs of underserved groups while designing these activities. For example, for women, the idea of 'standing in the street watching entertainment' may not feel culturally appropriate, as many are worried about theft or appearing to be lazy people who have nothing important to do."

I appreciate how GSMA's report "highlights the key learnings from the evaluation of the MISTT digital skills training initiative implemented by Orange Sierra Leone. It provides key insights on the effectiveness of MISTT in improving digital skills acquisition among different underserved groups, as well as the socio-economic impact of the training." There is also value in how the report "identifies considerations for improving the effectiveness of digital skills training in reaching underserved groups." Importantly, however, the GSMA notes that "the insights and recommendations in this report do not represent our comprehensive view of how to implement MISTT. Rather, they are recommendations specifically arising from this evaluation, and can be a basis for further research and trial. This complements our existing research on digital skills and evaluation of MISTT implementations."

What are your recommendations on how to promote digital literacy and reduce the digital usage gap in LMICs?

Aaron Rose is a board member, corporate advisor, and co-founder of great companies. He also serves as the editor of GT Perspectives, an online forum focused on turning perspective into opportunity.